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A new approach to business fluctuations:
heterogeneous interacting agents, scaling laws and financial fragility 
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Domenico Delli Gatti *
 Corrado Di Guilmi **
 Edoardo Gaffeo ***
   Gianfranco Giulioni **
Mauro Gallegati **
  Antonio Palestrini **

Abstract

In this paper we discuss a scaling approach to business fluctuations. Our starting point consists in recognizing that concepts and methods derived from physics have allowed economists to (re)discover a set of stylized facts which have to be satisfactorily accounted for in their models. Standard macroeconomics, based on a reductionist approach centered on the representative agent, is definitely badly equipped for this task. On the contrary, we show that a simple financial fragility agent-based model, based on complex interactions of heterogeneous agents, is able to replicate a large number of scaling type stylized facts with a remarkable high degree of statistical precision.

Keywords: Business fluctuations; power law distribution; agent-based model.

JEL classification: E32, C63, C82.

* Institute of Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory, Catholic University of Milan, Italy
** Department of Economics, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona, Italy
*** Department of Economics and CEEL, University of Trento, Italy